FLORIDA
LIVING NEWSLETTER
by ROBIN TAYLOR |
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REAL
ESTATE CYCLES
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In
the business cycle of real estate,
there are buyers' markets and
sellers' markets...and some
markets in between. It is
all based on supply and/or demand.
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A
BRISK ECONOMY
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| There
are times when the economy is
brisk and everyone feels confident
about his or her prospects for the
future. As a result, they spend
money. People eat out more, buy
new cars, and….They buy houses. |
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A
SLOW ECONOMY
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Then,
for one reason or another, the
economy slows down. Companies lay
off employees and consumers are
more careful about where they
spend money, perhaps saving more
than usual. As a result, the
economy decelerates. When there
are fewer people in the market to
buy homes.
During
such a time, fewer people are
buying homes. Even so, some
homeowners find themselves in a
situation where they must sell.
Families grow beyond the capacity
of the home, employees get
relocated, and some may even find
themselves unable to make their
mortgage payment - perhaps because
of a layoff in the family.
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SUPPLY
AND DEMAND CYCLE
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During
sellers' markets, homes sell
quickly and sellers have a lot of
pricing power. As a result,
prices rise more rapidly than at
other times. During buyers'
markets, homes may sit on the
market for a while before selling,
so sellers become more flexible
and may even drop their prices.
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THE
INTEREST RATE FACTOR
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One
problem with attempting to time
your purchase to the business
cycle is that even experts have
problems accurately predicting the
future economy. Even when
they can, the real estate market
does not necessarily move in
tandem with the stock market or
the economy as a whole.
Part of the reason is
interest rates.
When
the economy is doing well,
interest rates are generally
higher. The result is that
fewer people can afford houses.
When the economy slows down,
interest rates fall, the
"affordability index"
moves up and more people can
afford houses.
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BUY
AND HOLD
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| What
makes most sense is the "buy
and hold" strategy. Buy
a home you expect to remain in for
at least seven years or more.
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YOUR
QUESTIONS ANSWERED
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Want
to get a clear and up-to-date
picture of the current real estate
market in your area?
Call me at any time.
I am happy to share my
knowledge of the real estate
market with home owners and
prospective home owners who want
to take advantage of market trends
to buy and/or sell wisely.
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